This is my fourth December covering housing and economics for December is the month more than any other where analysts and economists and regular homebuyers and blog-dwellers truck out their rationale for why the market will or won’t be better in the coming New Year.

Of course this December is no different. I’ve compiled a little roundup here of some of the recent prognosticating, and would love to know what you think.

  • Public radio’s Marketplace show talked to USD economist Alan Gin for this segment today. Gin’s take: the market is firming here in San Diego.
  • Gin also featured in a U-T economic outlook story this week, along with his colleague at USD, Ryan Ratcliff, who said “The recovery is about to begin, but we have a long way to go.”
  • Both were speaking at a conference this week along with the Mortgage Bankers Association’s chief economist, Alan Jay Brinkmann, who offered this nationwide prediction: “I see the market holding on in the low end,” he said, but falling at the high end, above the $700,000 mark.
  • North County real estate broker Jim Klinge blogged some of those predictions and attracted a few comments from readers who are expecting the recovery to take a lot longer.
  • Here’s Rich Toscano on why he’s not making wide-scale predictions for the housing market right now.

I’ll be sharing soon what I’ll be watching in the next few months; now’s your chance. Leave us a comment and share your take: Are you buying? Selling? Watching the market? What is your prediction for housing and the local economy in the next several months?



    This article relates to: Community

    Written by K Hernandez

    VOSD Comment Policy

    Voice of San Diego’s Comment Policy

    If you have any questions about this policy please email If you have a longer, more thoughtful comment, consider submitting a commentary.


    Sign Up For VOSD’s Free Email Newsletters Today

    Enter your email address below.
    Choose your newsletters:

    To stop this message from appearing for 30 days, Log in. If you’re a current subscriber, you can update your preferences by choosing a new combination.


    San Diego’s Top Stories Delivered to Your Inbox

    Get the FREE daily Morning Report.

    To stop this message from appearing for 30 days, Log in.


    Log In or Register

    Registered users can follow narratives, comment on articles, check donation history and more.

    If you’ve never logged in before, please create a free account. If you’re a VOSD member, please use the email address associated with your donations.

    Forgot Password?